IT IS almost two decades since
Meles Zenawi came to power in Ethiopia after the rebels he led
toppled the brutal dictatorship of Mengistu Haile Mariam.
Since then, the
former Marxist guerrilla has presided over sweeping political
and economic change: introducing a multiparty system, boosting
health and education, and adopting pro-market policies to help
transform a limping, largely agricultural economy into one
predicted to be among the five fastest-growing in the world in
2010.
“We have succeeded in proving that Ethiopia can grow at Asian
growth rates,” says Meles, sitting in his cavernous offices in
the capital Addis Ababa. “This has rekindled hope in the
possibility that Ethiopia will not for long be the poster child
for poverty in the world.”
Ethiopia remains heavily dependent on foreign aid – Ireland
contributed €27.8 million in bilateral aid in 2009 – and almost
12 million Ethiopians will rely on food aid in the first half of
this year. It comes as a surprise, therefore, to hear Meles
argue that “technically . . . if push comes to shove, we can
survive on our own”.
If food aid was cut tomorrow, he continues: “We would have to
shelve some of our development projects and use the money to buy
wheat from abroad but no one would starve.”
While Meles’ fans once hailed him as one of sub-Saharan Africa’s
shrewdest and most visionary leaders – in 1998, Bill Clinton
described him as the leader of a continental renaissance – his
record has been blotted by sharp criticism over human rights and
the violent crackdown on anti-government protests which followed
a disputed general election in 2005. At least 193 people were
killed by police and thousands arrested.
Meles admits mistakes were made: “With better training and
equipment of our police force, the number of people who lost
lives could have been drastically reduced . . . there were very
glaring shortcomings but those shortcomings have now been
overcome.”
Most of Ethiopia’s political players have signed up to a new
code of conduct ahead of parliamentary elections due to take
place in May.
“That is a major plus to what we had in 2005 because the
majority of participants have now agreed on the rules of the
game,” Meles says.
“In spite of all this, I cannot tell you the risk of instability
is zero. I can say that we are aware of this risk and we are
determined to ensure that it doesn’t materialise.”
Asked about opposition claims that aid is being used as a
political tool in the run-up to the poll, he replies: “Given the
fact that there are several hundred thousand people involved in
the distribution of food aid, I cannot say that not a single one
of them has unfairly discriminated . . . People are trying to
make political capital out of this.”
Still, Ethiopia has faced increasing criticism for its human
rights record.
“The overwhelming majority of the criticism is invalid,” Meles
claims. “At the same time, I say this is a work in progress . .
. and we do not expect to have a situation where there is no
violation of human rights of any person anywhere in Ethiopia.”
He refers to a Human Rights Watch report which alleged Ethiopian
troops committed war crimes while battling rebels in the
country’s Ogaden area, and a US state department report: “We
found that the overwhelming majority of those accusations are
allegations by people who have an axe to grind being transformed
into facts after a series of reportings.”
A review by the UN Human Rights Council in December raised
several concerns about Ethiopia’s record. It recommended that
the government reassess controversial legislation passed last
year which outlawed any civil society group that promotes human
rights, democracy, or conflict resolution and receives more than
10 per cent of its funding from abroad.
“It is perfectly democratic legislation,” Meles argues. “I
believe that if we were to follow the advice of some of our
friends and allow foreign money dictate political terms in
Ethiopia, we would simply pretend to be in the process of
democratisation without democratising.” But doesn’t the law
narrow Ethiopia’s democratic space? “No, it is possible to
organise in Ethiopia without foreign money. I know because I
have done it both as a student and a guerrilla fighter,” he
counters.
Some international human rights groups and Ethiopian opposition
figures accuse donor states of holding back from properly
challenging the government on human rights because it is a
crucial ally in an unstable region. During the Bush era, US
officials frequently described Meles as Washington’s most
important African partner in its so-called war on terror.
Meles rejects claims that some donors have soft-pedalled on
human rights. “Many of our friends have not minced words in
criticising us . . . They tried to convince us to stop the
[civil society] legislation. But I think our friends know that .
. . we make our own decisions.” He is scathing about Birtukan
Mideksa, an imprisoned opposition leader whose case has been
highlighted by Amnesty International. Birtukan, who was given a
life sentence following the 2005 elections and then released
under a pardon agreement, was sent back to prison after the
government accused her of violating the terms of her pardon.
“She will be in prison until she serves her full term and
nothing anybody says is going to change that,” Meles bristles.
“It is a perfectly legal process and that is the end of the
story . . . This is again a glaring example of how the human
rights issue is abused by people who want to influence political
processes in Ethiopia.”
Meles has now been in power for longer than the man his rebel
army overthrew in 1991. After consultations with his party, he
says his intended retirement date of 2010 has been put back to
2015: “I will be participating in these elections as a candidate
but for sure this will be my last term . . . It will be my last
term because the party says it will be my last term.”